Expected Credit Loss (ECL)

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Expected credit loss measures the discounted cash shortfalls expected from defaults, weighted by the likelihood of the outcomes. IFRS 9 applies the measure to instruments within its impairment scope.

Example

A lender models timely payment, partial collection and default. It combines the discounted shortfalls from the scenarios using their estimated probabilities.

Remember the difference

The estimate incorporates reasonable forward-looking information. It can be recognised before a borrower actually misses a payment.

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